Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Vol. 20 No. 02 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan

Determinant of Trade Balance: Empirical Study in ASEAN 5 Countries

Erika Novendira Purnamasari (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang)
Idah Zuhroh (Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang)
Eris Tri Kurniawati (University of Muhammadiyah Malang)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2022

Abstract

International trade is a form of partnership and global activity of a country with other countries, traded from exports and imports. International trade activity is recorded in the trade balance for a certain period based on the value of the prevailing currency. It is one of the benchmarks for the success of an economy. This study examines the relationship between fundamental macroeconomic variables consisting of inflation, interest rates, imports, exchange rates, and GDP, which affect the trade balance performance in ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). The analytical method used is a regression with panel data from 2000-2019 with research objects from ASEAN-5 countries. The results of the analysis found that interest rates and imports had a significant adverse effect on the trade balance in ASEAN-5. GDP and exchange rates significantly positively affect the trade balance of ASEAN-5 countries. On the other hand, inflation has a negative effect but does not significantly affect the trade balance in ASEAN-5 countries.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jep

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal ekonomi pembangunan published by Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik (PPEKP), Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Muhammadiyah Malang. This journal is used as a source of information about scientific works in the field of development economics for every academician, ...