Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan
Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022

The Effect of COVID-19, Commodity Prices, and Exchange Rate on Indonesian Stock Market

Almira Intan Nurrahma (Padjadjaran University)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Oct 2022

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of COVID-19, exchange rate, and commodity prices on the performance of stock markets, focusing on the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) and behavioral influence of the sentiment due to COVID-19. To accomplish this, search volumes compiled by Google Trends on the topic of COVID-19 were used as a proxy for COVID-19 sentiment. The results from applying a panel data approach, using a data set of 35 stocks listed LQ45 index, for the period January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2021, showed that COVID-19 cases and exchange rate have a negative effect on the stock markets. Conversely, commodity prices positively affect the stock markets. However, the estimation fails to reflect the significant impact of the COVID-19 sentiment on stock markets, but it has a positive effect on stock markets. This result implies that (1) higher COVID-19 cases are still a source of weakness in the Indonesian stock market, (2) Positive sentiment suggests that Indonesian investors are more optimistic throughout the pandemic period.

Copyrights © 2022