Journal of Mathematics UNP
Vol 8, No 1 (2023): Journal Of Mathematics UNP

Analisis Risiko Investasi Saham Tunggal Syariah dengan Value at Risk (VaR) Menggunakan Simulasi Monte Carlo

Afifah Humayrah (Universitas Negeri Padang)
Devni Prima Sari (Universitas Negeri Padang)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Mar 2023

Abstract

Investment is an activity to hold a number of funds with the aim of gaining future profits, one of which is by investing in the Islamic capital market. Islamic capital market instruments that can be used are shares. Stocks are known to have the characteristics of high risk and high return, not only bringing high profits but also carrying high risks. One of the measuring tools that can be used to measure risk is Value at Risk because it can estimate the maximum possible loss that can occur on a single asset at a certain level of confidence. The purpose of this study is to estimate the optimal risk obtained by using Value at Risk with Monte Carlo Simulation. The data used in this study is the closing price of shares of PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tbk which is listed in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). Based on research using initial investment funds of 100,000,000.00, IDR the value of Value at Risk is -3,620,898.95 IDR at an error level of 1%, -2,709,707.70 IDR at an error level of 5% and -2.120.418.85 IDR at an error level of 10. %.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

mat

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Description

Journal of Mathematics UNP is a journal to publish article from student researches in UNP Mathematics study program, and we also kindly accept other article from outside of our study program related to Mathematics: consists of publication in Algebra, Analysis, Combinatoric, Geometry, Differential ...