Jurnal Teknokes
Vol 16 No 1 (2023): March

The Effect of Land Surface Temperature on Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Incidence

Riris Wahyu Maharani (Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Health Promotion and Behavioral Sciences, Faculty of Public Health, Airlangga University, Indonesia)
Rafika Minati Devi (Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Health Promotion and Behavioral Sciences, Faculty of Public Health, Airlangga University)
Diah Indriani (Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Health Promotion and Behavioral Sciences, Faculty of Public Health, Airlangga University)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2023

Abstract

Land Surface Temperature (LST) can be used to detect the occurrence of climate change. The change in LST can affect disease patterns such as Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). The incidence of DHF in Madura from 2010-2019 showed instability. The highest DHF incidence rate in Madura occurred in 2015. This study aims to analyze the spatial and temporal effect of LST on the incidence of DHF in Madura. The analysis was carried out spatially and temporally, using multivariate regression (spatial) and Autoregression (temporal) methods with a cubic spline for LST. This study used secondary data from two institution. LST data was obtained from the MODIS NASA website, while DHF data was obtained from the East Java Provincial Health Office. LST in most sub-region, increased in 2003 and 2015, then which is in line with the incidence of dengue fever in Madura, which also increased around 2015-2016. The R2 value from the cubic spline test shows that the model used is quite good and has the same performance in all regions of Madura. The Z-value in all regions is negative, which indicates a cold area. The highest Z-value in region 1 is related to Bangkalan Regency which has more incidences of DHF in the highest category. While the lowest Z-value is found in region 3 related to Pamekasan Regency which has never been in the high category. The incidence of DHF based on LST in Madura illustrates that Bangkalan and Sumenep regencies have greater potential than Sampang and Pamekasan regencies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

Teknokes

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

The JURNAL TEKNOKES is a peer-reviewed periodical scientific journal aimed at publishing research results of the medical engineering areas. The Journal is published by the Department of Medical Electronics Technology, Health Polytechnic of Surabaya, Ministry of Health Indonesia. The role of the ...