Acman: Accounting and Management Journal
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2023): Acman: Accounting and Management Journal

Inflationary Trends and Its Determinants in Nigeria

Onyinyechi Nneka Mbagwu (Department of Accounting, Banking, and Finance, Faculty of Management Sciences, Delta State University, Abraka)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2023

Abstract

This study examined Nigerian inflationary trends and drivers from 1985 through 2021(37years). The study explored how Money Supply (MS), Dollar Exchange Rate (DEXCHR), Government Expenditure (GEXP), and National Debt (NDT) affect Nigeria's Inflation Rate (INFLR). The Autoregressive distributed lag model showed mixed integration in aggregate secondary data from a CBN Statistical Bulletin. The model's multicollinearity and heteroskedasticity tests showed that it is homoskedastic and fit for prediction. MS only passed the statistical significance test long-term. This implies that MS is a strong determinant of INFLR in the long run (P-value= 0.0226) but not in the short run (P-value= 0.5056); DEXCHR exerted a positive insignificant effect on INFLR on the short and long run, evident with p-values of 0.3842 and 0.3981 respectively; LogGEXP exerted a negative significant effect on INFLR on the short and long run, evident with p-values of 0.0362 and 0.0289 respectively; and LogNDT exerted a positive Hence, inflationary trends do not significantly affect INFLR in Nigeria. The report advised the central bank to stop printing cheap currency to reduce money supply.

Copyrights © 2023






Journal Info

Abbrev

aj

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Library & Information Science

Description

Topic related to these field can be Accounting and Management, entrepreneurship, finance and financial services, human resource management, marketing, industrial relations, insurance, intellectual property management, international business, logistics, management information systems, management and ...