International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2023): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)

A Granger Causality Test (GCT) Approach to Exchange Rate Volatility on Prices of Selected Construction Materials in North-Central Nigeria

Abdulhaqq Muhammed (Federal University of Technology, Minna - Nigeria)
Chinedu Chimdi Adindu (Federal University of Technology, Minna - Nigeria)



Article Info

Publish Date
16 May 2023

Abstract

The importance of construction materials to the Nigeria’s construction industry sub-sector cannot be overemphasized considering its monumental contribution to national infrastructure development, employment generation, and gross domestic product (GDP), to mention but a few. Unfortunately, there has been a continual upward surge in the prices of construction materials and its attendant effects on the volume of construction output owing to price vagaries. This study applied Granger Causality Test (GCT) to investigate the effect of Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) on selected construction material prices for projects embarked upon within the North-Central geopolitical region of Nigeria. The data employed Exchange Rate Volatility (ERV) trend, and Average Price Trends (APT) of Cement, Block, Tile and Reinforcement for the period between 2011Q1 and 2020Q4. The results show p-values of 1.006e-05, 1.006e-05, 0.000668 and 1.006e-05 respectively  for Cement, Blocks, Tile and Reinforcement. Thus, implying that ERV do not granger-cause the selected construction material variable factors, which are Cement, Block, Tile and Reinforcement prices. The study concludes that exchange rate votality has a negative consequence on each of the selected construction materials with a unidrectional impact and same not happening in reverse. The study recommends the implementation  of requisite fiscal policies including reduction in the usage of other currencies other than the Naira to transact within Nigeria, stoppage of the use of US Dollars as an intermediary for international currency exchanges and an increase  in the  production capacity of local construction materials.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijedr

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

IJEDR focuses on economics, innovation, and investment. Dedicated to enhancing economics development a country, regional and the world in general. IJEDR invites papers on Economics field (Economic growth, Monetary and fiscal policy effect, Innovation practices, Innovation impact, Corporate finance, ...