UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Vol. 1 No. 3 (2023): UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science

Rainfall Forcasting in Medan City Using Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA)

Silvia Agustina (Unknown)
Fadhilah Fitri (Unknown)
Dodi Vionanda (Unknown)
Admi Salma (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2023

Abstract

Singular spectrum analysis is a time series analysis that can be used for data that has seasonal effects. Rainfall is one example that has a seasonal effect. High rainfall has an impact on natural disasters such as floods. Medan city is the capital city of North Sumatra province which has quite high rainfall and is a lowland area, so it has the potential for flooding. Rainfall forecasting can be done as disaster mitigation. The forecasting method used is SSA. The MAPE forecasting accuracy value obtained is 15.5% and the tracking signal is within tolerance limits, so that it can be concluded that the forecasting is done well.

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Journal Info
UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Website

Abbrev

ujsds

Publisher

Universitas Negeri Padang

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics Social Sciences

Description

UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science is an open access journal (e-journal) launched in 2022 by Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Padang. UJSDS publishes scientific articles on various aspects related to Statistics, Data Science, and its ...