Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis
JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 17 No 1 2018

PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR

Sukiyono, Ketut (Unknown)
Rosdiana, Rosdiana (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2018

Abstract

This research is aimed at examining the best forecasting model for riceprice at wholesaler price. Monthly data of ricefrom 2010:1 –2017:12 are used for this research and three trend model, i.e.,MA, Decomposition and Single Exponential Smoothing are applied in which the selection of the best model is based on the lowest value of MAPE, MAD, and MSE or MSD. This research finds that the best forecasting model is MA(2).

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Journal Info
Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis
Website

Abbrev

agrisep

Publisher

Universitas Bengkulu

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

(1) The Macro approach of agricultural socio-economic as a system which comprehensive and integrated from subsystems up-stream, subsystems on-farm, subsystems down-stream, subsystems support and the impact of their interrelationships with government policy, international economics, agricultural ...