Emerging Science Journal
Vol 7, No 4 (2023): August

Forecasting Solar Power Generation Utilizing Machine Learning Models in Lubbock

Afshin Balal (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)
Yaser Pakzad Jafarabadi (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)
Ayda Demir (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)
Morris Igene (Department of Civil and Construction Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)
Michael Giesselmann (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)
Stephen Bayne (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech Univeristy, Lubbock, Texas,)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Jul 2023

Abstract

Solar energy is a widely accessible, clean, and sustainable energy source. Solar power harvesting in order to generate electricity on smart grids is essential in light of the present global energy crisis. However, the highly variable nature of solar radiation poses unique challenges for accurately predicting solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation. Factors such as cloud cover, atmospheric conditions, and seasonal variations significantly impact the amount of solar energy available for conversion into electricity. Therefore, it is essential to precisely estimate the output of solar power in order to assess the potential of smart grids. This paper presents a study that utilizes various machine learning models to predict solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation in Lubbock, Texas. Mean Squared Error (MSE) and R² metrics are utilized to demonstrate the performance of each model. The results show that the Random Forest Regression (RFR) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models outperformed the other models, with a MSE of 2.06% and 2.23% and R² values of 0.977 and 0.975, respectively. In addition, RFR and LSTM demonstrate their capability to capture the intricate patterns and complex relationships inherent in solar power generation data. The developed machine learning models can aid solar PV investors in streamlining their processes and improving their planning for the production of solar energy. Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2023-07-04-02 Full Text: PDF

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ESJ

Publisher

Subject

Environmental Science

Description

Emerging Science Journal is not limited to a specific aspect of science and engineering but is instead devoted to a wide range of subfields in the engineering and sciences. While it encourages a broad spectrum of contribution in the engineering and sciences. Articles of interdisciplinary nature are ...