Scientific Journal of Informatics
Vol 10, No 3 (2023): August 2023

Clothing Sales Prediction Information System Using Web-Based Double Exponential Smoothing Method

Sitorus, Apriyanti Anggraini (Unknown)
Ikhwan, Ali (Unknown)
H. Aly, Moustafa (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Aug 2023

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this research is to determine the smallest error value so that the resulting prediction data is more accurate. This prediction data is used to help Raja Fashion Medan in processing goods data and help predict the amount of goods that must be provided to meet customer needs in the next period.Methods: This research uses the Double Exponential Smoothing method because it is used on data that is more stable and has a trend pattern. To test the accuracy of the prediction results with the Double Exponential Smoothing method, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) data testing methods are used by finding the smallest error value.Result: This test is carried out by determining the smallest error value on 118 data types of goods with error results, namely the average Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 26.5, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) 1.2, Mean Squared Error (MSE) 37.8 and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) of 10%, it can be concluded that the accuracy of theprediction is very good.Novelty: Testing on prediction results uses 4 methods to determine more accurate results, namely with Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) which are used to find values smallest error.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SJI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Scientific Journal of Informatics published by the Department of Computer Science, Semarang State University, a scientific journal of Information Systems and Information Technology which includes scholarly writings on pure research and applied research in the field of information systems and ...