Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Vol 2023 No 1 (2023): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2023

Peramalan Awal Harga Telur Ayam Ras di Indonesia Sebagai Pandangan Awal dalam Penentuan Kebijakan

Kautsar, Syahrizal (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Oct 2023

Abstract

Food security is an issue that the world is currently facing. Indonesia's food security still needs to be improved. One of the factors that can affect food security is commodity prices. Broiler eggs are one of the important food commodities in Indonesia. This study modeled the consumer price of broiler eggs using clustering time series analysis and ARIMA modeling where the forecasting results can be used as an initial view in policy making. After analysis, it was found that the provinces of Indonesia can be grouped into three groups based on consumer price patterns of broiler eggs, namely into high, medium and low groups. Provinces in the high and low groups are predicted to experience stable prices at their respective levels. On the other hand, provinces in the moderate group are predicted to experience a trend of rising consumer prices for broiler eggs.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

semnasoffstat

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

prosiding seminar ini bertujuan untuk menghasilkan berbagai pemikiran solutif, inovatif, dan adaptif terkait isu, strategi, dan metode yang memanfaatkan official ...