Emerging Science Journal
Vol 7, No 5 (2023): October

ARL Evaluation of a DEWMA Control Chart for Autocorrelated Data: A Case Study on Prices of Major Industrial Commodities

Yadpirun Supharakonsakun (Faculty of Science and Technology, Phetchabun Rajabhat University, Phetchabun, 67000,)
Yupaporn Areepong (Faculty of Applied Science, King Mongkut’s University of Technology Bangkok, Bangkok,10800,)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Oct 2023

Abstract

The double exponentially weighted moving average (DEWMA) control chart, an extension of the EWMA control chart, is a useful statistical process control tool for detecting small shift sizes in the mean of processes with either independent or autocorrelated observations. In this study, we derived explicit formulas to compute the average run length (ARL) for a moving average of order q (MA(q)) process with exponential white noise running on a DEWMA control chart and verified their accuracy by comparison with the numerical integral equation (NIE) method. The results for both were in good agreement with the actual ARL. To investigate the efficiency of the proposed procedure on the DEWMA control chart, a performance comparison between it and the standard and modified EWMA control charts was also conducted to determine which provided the smallest out-of-control ARL value for several scenarios involving MA(q) processes. It was found that the DEWMA control chart provided the lowest out-of-control ARL for all cases of varying the exponential smoothing parameter and shift size values. To illustrate the efficacy of the proposed methodology, the presented approach was applied to datasets of the prices of several major industrial commodities in Thailand. The findings show that the DEWMA procedure performed well in almost all of the scenarios tested. Doi: 10.28991/ESJ-2023-07-05-020 Full Text: PDF

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ESJ

Publisher

Subject

Environmental Science

Description

Emerging Science Journal is not limited to a specific aspect of science and engineering but is instead devoted to a wide range of subfields in the engineering and sciences. While it encourages a broad spectrum of contribution in the engineering and sciences. Articles of interdisciplinary nature are ...