Journal of Actuarial, Finance, and Risk Managment
Vol 1, No 2 (2022)

Prediction of Loan Status Using Logistics Regression Model and Naïve Bayes Classifier

Christabell Christabell (Study Program of Actuarial Science, President University)
Edwin Setiawan Nugraha (Study Program of Actuarial Science, President University)
Karunia Eka Lestari (Mathematics Education Department, Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Nov 2022

Abstract

Conducting an evaluation process of prospective debtors is important for creditors to reduce the risk of default. For this reason, the research aims to construct a model that can determine whether a prospective applicant's credit application is recommended to be accepted or rejected by using the method of logistic regression and naïve Bayes classifier. We used a dataset of gender, married, dependent, education, self-employed, applicant income, co-applicant income, loan amount, loan amount term, credit history, and property area as predictor variables and loan status as a response variable. The results show that the performance measures, including accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score of the logistics regression method, are 85.9%, 83.82%, 100%, and 91.2%, while the naïve Bayes classifier is 84.62%, 83.58%, 98.2%, and 90.32%. Since the performance measures of logistic regression are bigger than naïve Bayes classifier, it suggests that logistic regression is better than naïve Bayes classifier

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JAFRM

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics

Description

This journal aims to provide high quality articles covering any and all aspects of the most recent and significant developments in the actuarial, financial, and risk ...