Journal of Sustainable Economics
Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): Journal of Sustainable Economics

Long-Run Determinants of Inflation in Malaysia and Indonesia: Does Geopolitical risk matter?

Yahya, Yusri (Unknown)
Pamuncak, Mohammad Bintang (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Nov 2023

Abstract

This study attempts to investigate the determinants of inflation in Malaysia and Indonesia in the long run. By using macroeconomic variables that theoretically matter to manage inflation such as money supply and exchange rate, this study also includes geopolitical risk index as proxy of uncertainty to be investigated further as another determinant that may cause the increasing of inflation rate in Malaysia and Indonesia. The data covers the period 2014:M11 to 2023:M8. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach is employed to determine the long-run relationship. The main findings in this study demonstrate that the money supply and geopolitical risk are among the determinants of inflation in Malaysia in the long run. Meanwhile contrary to that, only money supply determines inflation in Indonesia. The finding indicates that money supply and geopolitical risk matter to inflation management. Hence, this study suggests that monetary authorities must take an active role towards money supply and geopolitical risk issue.

Copyrights © 2023






Journal Info

Abbrev

jse

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Journal of Sustainable Economics (JSE) is a peer-reviewed publication of original research works. The mission of the journal is to offer a medium to exchange ideas and information about the advancement of knowledge and research in disiplines of economics and econometrics from the following subject ...