PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS
Vol. 2021 No. 1 (2021): Proceedings of 2021 International Conference on Data Science and Official St

Estimation of Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Using Small Area Estimation (SAE) in Nusa Tenggara Timur (NTT) Province

Mellinda Mellinda (STIS Polytechnic of Statistics)
Cucu Sumarni (STIS Polytechnic of Statistics)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Jan 2022

Abstract

The large population in Indonesia has an impact on providing basic services for population which is not optimal so the condition and distribution of the population in a country must be addressed through fertility control methods. Total Fertility Rate (TFR) is one of fertility measures used in Indonesia. The estimation of TFR at the district level is very important, especially for the Nusa Tenggara Timur (NTT) Province as the province with the highest TFR in Indonesia. The availability of TFR data up to the district level is difficult to obtain every year due to data limitations. This study uses the National Socio-Economic Survey to address these problems. TFR estimation through survey data (direct estimation) generally results in a large Relative Standard Error (RSE) value, so it is necessary to estimate using an indirect estimate in the form of Small Area Estimation (SAE). By using SAERestricted Maximum Likelihood (REML) procedure, TFR with an RSE that is lower than the direct estimate is obtained. There are 5 district that have a medium-high TFR, namely: Sumba Barat Daya, Sumba Tengah, Sabu Raijua, Sumba Barat, and Manggarai Barat. The government is recommended to focus more on that 5 districts to suppress the high TFR in NTT.

Copyrights © 2021






Journal Info

Abbrev

icdsos

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics (ICDSOS) 2023 is organized by Politeknik Statistika STIS and Statistics Indonesia (BPS). This international conference in collaboration with Forum Pendidikan Tinggi ...