Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri
Vol. 14, No. 2, Desember 2015

PERAMALAN BEBAN LISTRIK JANGKA MENENGAH PADA SISTEM KELISTRIKAN KOTA SAMARINDA

Muslimin, Muslimin (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Jan 2016

Abstract

Demand of electric power in Samarinda continuously increasing in line with development of Samarinda city. To fill the demand of electricity in the future at a certain period, it is necessary to know precisely the demand for electricity in the certain period. This research has been carried out mid-term electric load forecasting electricity system in Samarinda using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). This method is an excellent method for finding non-linear relationship between load with economic factors are varied, and can make adjustments to the changes.The result of this study indicates that the selection of parameters such as the learning method, the number of neurons, hidden layer and influence the accuracy of forecasting the electrical load. From the results of electric power load forecasting medium term Samarinda MSE values obtained by 6,9134E + 03, using the parameters training and network configuration [7-70-1]. Retrieved peak load in 2020 amounted to 741 MW, close to the electrical plan of PT. PLN (Persero) amounting to 718 MW. In the electricity load forecasting is well known that the annual burden will increase.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jiti

Publisher

Subject

Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri is a scientific journal that aims to participate in developing the scientific field of Industrial Engineering, contains the results of research and theoretical study from lecturers, researchers and industry practitioners. Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Industri is administered by ...