Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING)
Vol 7 No 3 (2024): Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING)

Perbandingan Metode Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBOOST) Dengan Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Untuk Prediksi Saham Pt. Bank Mandiri Tbk. (BMRI)

Bagas Pratama (Universitas Gunadarma)
Lintang Yuniar Banowosari (Universitas Gunadarma)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Mar 2024

Abstract

In the continuously evolving world of investments, achieving optimal investment results is the primary goal of every investor. The high profit potential in stock investments makes it an attractive choice. However, it is difficult to predict the direction of stock price movements, but many methods and ways are used to predict in terms of buying and selling, one of which is the result of the very rapid development of computing for machine learning, namely artificial intelligence techniques. In this study, the artificial intelligence methods used are Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). This study uses a stock dataset of PT. Bank Mandiri Tbk. (BMRI) for 20 years, especially in the open price column. After testing, the results from the XGBoost method are obtained, namely the Coefficient of Determination (R2) value of 89.09%, indicating that the results are good and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 3.21%, indicating that the error percentage is low. While in the LSTM method, the R2 value is 98.44%, meaning that the prediction results have been predicted very well and the MAPE is 1.77%, indicating that the error percentage is very low. Keywords: XGBoost, Open Price, Prediction, LSTM, Stocks

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Journal Info

Abbrev

COSTING

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

COSTING : Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting reviewed covers theoretical and applied research in the field of Economics, Business and Accounting. Priority is given to those articles which satisfy the main scope of the journal, and have an impact in the research areas of interest. ...