Long-term power prediction of photovoltaic panels based on meteorological parameters and support vector machine

Saurabh Gupta (Technocrats Institute of Technology and Science)
Palanisamy Ramasamy (SRM Institute of Science and Technology)
Pandi Maharajan Murugamani (Nadar Saraswathi College of Engineering and Technology)
Selvakumar Kuppusamy (SRM Institute of Science and Technology)
Selvabharathi Devadoss (SRM Institute of Science and Technology)
Barath Suresh (SRM Institute of Science and Technology)
Vignesh Kumar (SRM Institute of Science and Technology)

Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Vol 33, No 2: February 2024

Solar energy is the most generally accessible energy in the entire globe. Proper solar panel maintenance is necessary to reduce reliance on imported energy. Continuous monitoring of the solar panel's power output is required. The deployment of internet of things (IoT) monitoring of solar panels for maintenance is the basis for the current research. A multi-variable long-term photovoltaic (PV) power production prediction approach based on support vector machine (SVM) is developed in this study with the aim of completely evaluating the influence of PV panels performance and actual operational state factors on the power generation efficiency. This study examines the use of SVM and climatic factors to forecast the long-term output of power from solar panels. A solar power facility in a semi-arid area provided the data utilized in this investigation. Temperature, humidity, wind speed, and sun radiation are some of the meteorological variables that were considered in the study. To anticipate the power generation of the panels, the SVM is trained using the climatic factors and the power generation data. The findings demonstrate that the SVM model consistently predicts the panels' long-term power generation with a high degree of accuracy.