AFEBI Economic and Finance Review
Vol. 8 No. 2 (2023): December

Bankruptcy Prediction Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning Models

Mestiri, Sami (Unknown)
Hamdi, Manel (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2023

Abstract

In this study, we have compared the predictive power of five models namely the Linear discriminant analysis (LDA), Logistic regression (LR), Decision trees (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF) to forecast the bankruptcy of Tunisian companies. A more advanced deep learning model, the Deep Neural Network (DNN) model, is also applied to conduct a prediction performance comparison with other statistical and machine learning algorithms. The data used for this empirical investigation covering 26 financial ratios for a large sample of 528 Tunisian firms. To interpret the prediction results, three performance measures have been employed; the accuracy rate, the F1 score and the Area Under Curve (AUC). By conclusion, DNN shows higher accuracy in predicting bankruptcy compared to other conventional models. Whereas, RF model performs better than other machine learning and statistical methods.

Copyrights © 2023






Journal Info

Abbrev

aefr

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

AFEBI Economic and Finance Review (AEFR) is an academic journal which is published twice a year (June and December) by The Association of The Faculty of Economics and Business Indonesia. AEFR is aimed as an outlet for theoretical and empirical research in the field of economics and to disseminate ...