Wacana: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komunikasi
Volume 23, No. 1 June 2024

Probability And Bayesian Inference In Human Communication

Pavel Slutskiy (Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jun 2024

Abstract

This paper challenges the applicability of traditional information theory's frequentist approach to human communication, arguing that it fails to capture the unique, singular nature of communicative acts. Traditional theory, based on long-term observation and relative frequencies, overlooks the complexity and context-dependency inherent in human interactions. The objective is to redefine communication understanding through a Bayesian model that emphasises subjective probability and the critical role of beliefs and intentions. Utilising a rationalist methodology, the research conducts a qualitative analysis of theoretical concepts and prior research, proposing a new model that situates probability within the philosophy of communication. This model highlights the subjective beliefs and intentions that govern communication, challenging existing paradigms and contributing to a deeper understanding of communicative dynamics. The results reveal the limitations of the frequentist approach and demonstrate the applicability of a Bayesian perspective, advocating for a paradigm shift in communication theory towards a sender-oriented model. This shift not only challenges existing paradigms but also offers a more nuanced understanding of communication as a fundamentally human endeavour. 

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

wacana

Publisher

Subject

Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences

Description

Wacana, Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komunikasi merupakan wujud karya ilmiah tentang kajian ilmu komunikasi yang melingkupi hasil penelitian dengan tema atau topik yang dibahasa dalam jurnal Wacana meliputi kajian ilmu komunikasi baik Komunikasi Politik atau pun Komunikasi Lintas Budaya; Strategic ...