Inferensi
Vol 7, No 2 (2024)

Implementation of Spatial Autoregressive with Autoregressive Disturbance (SARAR) using GMM to Identify Factors Caused Poverty in West Java

Ningtias, Yunita Dwi Ayu (Padjadjaran University)
Andriyana, Yudhie (Padjadjaran University)
Pravitasari, Anindya Apriliyanti (Padjadjaran University)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Jul 2024

Abstract

Poverty is one of the crucial problems that has a negative impact on all sectors. As a developing country, Indonesia has a fairly high poverty rate. The government's efforts to overcome the problem of poverty can be circumvented by detecting the factors that influence it to determine the policies taken by using statistical modeling. There is a spatial effect on poverty in West Java Province. Spatial Data Analysis is the only statistical model that can explain the relationship between an area and the surrounding area. If the response variable contains a lag that correlates with each other, it is called a Spatial Autoregressive with Autoregressive Disturbances (SARAR) model. The Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) approach is used to get an estimator from the model. This method is applied to obtain the factors that influence poverty in West Java Province. The results of this study indicate that the GMM SARAR poverty modeling with customized weights provides relatively better estimation results. In addition, the relationship between locations (spatial lag dependence) is positive and significant. Expected Years of Schooling and Per capita Expenditure have a negative and significant effect on the increase in the percentage of poor people in West Java.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

inferensi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Mathematics Social Sciences

Description

The aim of Inferensi is to publish original articles concerning statistical theories and novel applications in diverse research fields related to statistics and data science. The objective of papers should be to contribute to the understanding of the statistical methodology and/or to develop and ...