Unnes Journal of Mathematics
Vol 12 No 1 (2023)

Implementation of state space method for forecasting the number of patients with HIV/AIDS infectious diseases

Wiwik Wiyanti (Universitas Matana)

Article Info

Publish Date
30 May 2023

Abstract

This research concerns about the implementation of the State Space method for forecasting to the number of people with infectious diseases (a case study is the number of people with HIV/AIDS) in the Indonesia. The research was conducted from August 2022 to November 2022. The data obtained from kagle, namely new cases of HIV/AIDS infection. In this research, HIV data from 1990 to 2019 was used for forecast analysis. The forecasting method in this research is State Space method. Predict of new cases will found in 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023 are 14095,14139, 14167 and 14184 respectively. The forecast analysis result obtained that the mean absolute percentage error is 0,4%.

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Journal Info
Unnes Journal of Mathematics
Website

Abbrev

ujm

Publisher

Universitas Negeri Semarang

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Unnes Journal of Mathematics (UJM) publishes research issues on mathematics and its apllication. The UJM processes manuscripts resulted from a research in mathematics and its application scope, which includes. The scopes include research in: 1. Algebra 2. Analysis 3. Discrete Mathematics and Graph ...