Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2023): Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence, Article Research November 2023

Analysis of the Comparison Between Linear Regression, Random Forest, and Logistic Regression Methods in Predicting Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price

Surya Wijaya (Universitas Nasional, Indonesia)
Fauziah (Universitas Nasional, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Dec 2023

Abstract

This study compared the predictive capabilities of linear regression, random forest, and logistic regression models for forecasting crude palm oil prices. Utilizing historical data from 02/11/2020 to 13/11/2023, the dataset underwent training and testing with three scenarios: 90:10, 80:20, and 70:30. Evaluation metrics, including RMSE, MSE, and MAPE, assessed model performance. Each method had unique strengths and weaknesses, and the choice depended on application needs. The goal was to improve decision accuracy in predicting crude palm oil price trends. In the 90:10 scenario, random forest outperformed linear and logistic regression, yielding smaller MSE (43948.56), MAE (80.37), and RMSE (209.64). Similarly, in the 80:20 scenario, random forest had smaller MSE (137787.61), MAE (106.38), and RMSE (371.20). In the 70:30 scenario, random forest showed smaller MSE (107582.32), MAE (104.13), and RMSE (328). Overall, random forest consistently demonstrated better performance than linear and logistic regression.

Copyrights © 2023






Journal Info

Abbrev

brilliance

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics Other

Description

Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence is The Scientific Journal. Brilliance is published twice in one year, namely in February, May and November. Brilliance aims to promote research in the field of Informatics Engineering which focuses on publishing quality papers about the latest ...