Binus Business Review
Vol 6, No 2 (2015): Binus Business Review

Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French

Hendra, Edwin (Unknown)
Suk, Kim Sung (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Aug 2015

Abstract

This research aims to apply the Fama-French models and test the effect of alternative variable of bond yield spread, default spread (RBBB – RAAA and RAAA – RF), and the term spread (RSUN10-RSUN1), as proxy variables of the business cycle, in IDX stock data during 2005-2010. Four types of asset pricing models tested are Sharpe-Lintner CAPM, Fama-French models, Hwang et al.model, and hybrid model. The results showed that the size effect and value effect has an impact on excess stock returns. Slopes of market beta, SMB, and HML are more sensitive to stock big size and high B / M. Default spreads and term spreads in Hwang et al. model can explain the value effect, and weakly explain the size effect, meanwhile the power of explanation disappeared on Hybrid models. Based on the assessment adjusted R2 and the frequency of rejection of non-zero alpha, is found that the hybrid model is the most suitable model.  

Copyrights © 2015






Journal Info

Abbrev

BBR

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Binus Business Review is an international journal published in March, July, and November hosted by the Research and Technology Transfer Office (LPPM) of Universitas Bina Nusantara. The journal contents are managed by the Binus Business School, Faculty of Economics and Communications, and Forum ...