International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering
Vol 14, No 6: December 2024

Enhancing El NiƱo-Southern oscillation prediction using an attention-based sequence-to-sequence architecture

Setiawan, Karli Eka (Unknown)
Fredyan, Renaldy (Unknown)
Alam, Islam Nur (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2024

Abstract

The ability to accurately predict the EI Nino-Southern oscillation (ENSO) is essential for seasonal climate forecasting. Monitoring the Pacific Ocean's surface temperature has many benefits for human life, including a better understanding of climate and weather, the ability to predict summer and winter, the ability to manage natural resources, serving as a reference for maritime transportation and navigation needs, serving as a reference for climate change monitoring needs, and even serving as a renewable energy source by utilizing high sea surface temperatures. This study introduces a deep learning (DL) model with AttentionSeq2Luong model as our proposed model to the ENSO research community. The present study showcases the capability of our proposed model to effectively forecast the forthcoming monthly average Nino index compared to the baseline seq2seq architecture model. For the dataset, this study utilized monthly observations of Nino 12, Nino 3, Nino 34, and Nino 4 between January 1870 and August 2022. The brief result of our experiment was that applying Luong Attention in the seq2seq model reduced the RMSE error by around 0.03494, 0.04635, 0.03853, and 0.03892 for forecasting Nino 12, Nino 3, Nino 34, and Nino 4, respectively.

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJECE

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE, ISSN: 2088-8708, a SCOPUS indexed Journal, SNIP: 1.001; SJR: 0.296; CiteScore: 0.99; SJR & CiteScore Q2 on both of the Electrical & Electronics Engineering, and Computer Science) is the official publication of the Institute of ...