IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 13, No 2: June 2024

Stock market prediction employing ensemble methods: the Nifty50 index

Manjunath, Chinthakunta (Unknown)
Marimuthu, Balamurugan (Unknown)
Ghosh, Bikramaditya (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2024

Abstract

Accurately forecasting stock fluctuations can yield high investment returns while minimizing risk. However, market volatility makes these projections unlikely. As a result, stock market data analysis is significant for research. Analysts and researchers have developed various stock price prediction systems to help investors make informed judgments. Extensive studies show that machine learning can anticipate markets by examining stock data. This article proposed and evaluated different ensemble learning techniques such as max voting, bagging, boosting, and stacking to forecast the Nifty50 index efficiently. In addition, an embedded feature selection is performed to choose an optimal set of fundamental indicators as input to the model, and extensive hyperparameter tuning is applied using grid search to each base regressor to enhance performance. Our findings suggest the bagging and stacking ensemble models with random forest (RF) feature selection offer lower error rates. The bagging and stacking regressor model 2 outperformed all other models with the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0084 and 0.0085, respectively, showing a better fit of ensemble regressors. Finally, the findings show that machine learning algorithms can help fundamental analyses make stock investment decisions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...