Economics and Business Journal
Vol. 2 No. 3 (2024): March

A New Approach of Investment Project Appraisal Under Risk and Uncertainty

Karnavas, Christos (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 May 2024

Abstract

The financial uncertainty in the results of the investment evaluation creates conditions of risk in the decision making of any strategy in the management of the industrial units. The recent crises (economic and pandemic) have only reinforced the need to explicitly introduce the factor of uncertainty in any new investment decision. The aim of the present paper is to develop a methodological approach contributing to the appraisal of an investment project under risk and uncertainty. Methods from statistical - econometrics, probabilistic analysis, numerical simulation methods and financial analysis are used and combined. The stochastic approach is used through the Monte Carlo simulation to appraisal the uncertainty. Finally, the implementation of probabilistic theory combined with the use of decision trees allows to estimate in a more relevant way the factor of uncertainty considering all perspectives.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

go

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Economics and Business Journal (ECBIS) | ISSN (e): 2963-7589 is an international peer-reviewed, open access scientific journal dedicated to the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level research in the fields of Economics, Management and Business, this journal ...