Jurnal GAMMA-PI
Vol 7 No 1 (2025): Jurnal Gamma-Pi (Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika)

ANALISIS PEMODELAN JUMLAH PENERIMAAN PAJAK ACEH TIMUR TAHUN 2024 DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE TIME SERIES

Asna, Intan Junidil (Unknown)
Amelia (Unknown)
Muliani, Fitra (Unknown)
Fairus, Fairus (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Nov 2025

Abstract

Taxes are contributions that must be paid by taxpayers to the state. Taxes are used to finance general expenses related to the state's duties in running government. In April 2020 the total tax revenue in East Aceh Regency was IDR 905,028,600.00. Tax revenues increase every year, until January 2023, namely IDR 2,240,720,100.00. This research aims to determine the prediction of the amount of tax revenue for East Aceh Regency in 2024 using the time series method. Time series is a method for predicting future events or values based on data from the past. The model used is the ARIMA model. The data used is data on the amount of tax revenue every month from January 2020 to January 2023. This data was obtained from the East Aceh One-Stop Single Administration System (SAMSAT) Office. The results of the analysis show that the total tax revenue for East Aceh in 2024 is IDR 1,662,329,757.00. The model used is the ARIMA model (1,1,1) because this model is the best model after all assumptions have been met.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

jgp

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Mathematics Public Health

Description

Jurnal Gamma-PiĀ  adalah sebuah jurnal blind peer-review yang didedikasikan untuk publikasi hasil penelitian yang berkualitas dalam bidang matematika dan pendidikan matematika. Jurnal Gamma-Pi diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Matematika, Universitas Samudra, Langsa. Jurnal Gamma-Pi diterbitkan dua ...