Journal of Computers for Society
Vol 1, No 1 (2020): JCS: June 2020

Prediction of Diarrhea Sufferers in Bandung with Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA)

Cacuk Jati Pangestu (Department of Computer Science Educaiton, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia)
Erna Piantari (Department of Computer Science Educaiton, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia)
Munir Munir (Department of Computer Science Educaiton, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jun 2020

Abstract

Diarrhea is the second disease that causes death in children in the world. Every year, around 1.7 million cases of diarrhea are found and cause around 525,000 deaths in children under the age of five in the world. Proper analysis of health service data can help predict epidemics, cure, and disease, and improve quality of life and avoid preventable deaths. This research is aimed at predicting diarrhea sufferers in the future by using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with explanatory X (SARIMAX) by involving climate factors in the form of average temperature and average humidity. The data used are data of diarrhea sufferers and climate in 2010-2019 in the city of Bandung. The result shows that there is not significant relation between temperature or humidity and the diarrhea cases. However, the SARIMA model had performed better than the SARIMAX model with the addition of climate factors to predict the diarrhea case in Bandung. The predictive accuracy of the SARIMA model obtained is 78.6%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JCS

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering Library & Information Science Mathematics

Description

The Journal invites original articles and not simultaneously submitted to another journal or conference. The whole spectrum of computer science are welcome, which includes, but is not limited to - Artificial Intelligence, IoT and Robotics - Data Analysis and Big Data - Multimedia and Design, - ...