Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika
Vol. 9 No. 1 (2025): Research Article, January 2025

Predicting IT Incident Duration using Machine Learning: A Case Study in IT Service Management

Caturkusuma, Resha Meiranadi (Unknown)
Alzami, Farrikh (Unknown)
Nurhindarto, Aris (Unknown)
Sulistiyono, MY Teguh (Unknown)
Irawan, Candra (Unknown)
Kusumawati, Yupie (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Jan 2025

Abstract

In the digital era, ensuring customer satisfaction with IT services is crucial for business success. However, the complexity of IT infrastructure makes it difficult to manage services, requiring companies to focus on improving efficiency and reducing operational costs. One of the strategies used is Information Technology Service Management (ITSM), the main component of which is incident management, which aims to minimize service disruptions. While various studies on ITSM exist, research focused on Machine Learning models for predicting incident resolution times is relatively limited. This research aims to develop an incident resolution duration prediction model using a Random Forest Regressor-based regression approach. The dataset used is an event log from the ServiceNow system containing data on 24,918 incidents. The model was evaluated using the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and R2 metrics, where the model achieved a MAE of 14.33 hours, RMSE of 69.8 hours, and R2 of 0.98. These results show that the model can provide accurate predictions and support better decision-making in IT incident handling. Time-related features, such as sys_update_month and closed_month, proved to be the most influential factors in predicting incident resolution duration.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sinkron

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Scope of SinkrOns Scientific Discussion 1. Machine Learning 2. Cryptography 3. Steganography 4. Digital Image Processing 5. Networking 6. Security 7. Algorithm and Programming 8. Computer Vision 9. Troubleshooting 10. Internet and E-Commerce 11. Artificial Intelligence 12. Data Mining 13. Artificial ...