JUSTIN (Jurnal Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
Vol 12, No 4 (2024)

Diabetes Mellitus Disease Prediction using Machine Learning Algorithms

Safitri, Egi (Unknown)
Rofianto, Dani (Unknown)
Purwati, Neni (Unknown)
Kurniawan, Hendra (Unknown)
Karnila, Sri (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Nov 2024

Abstract

Diabetes mellitus is a chronic disease with a rapidly increasing global prevalence, affecting around 422 million people, predominantly in low- and middle-income countries. Effective management of diabetes requires early detection and timely intervention. This study aims to develop an accurate predictive model for diabetes mellitus using three machine learning algorithms: Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Decision Tree. The Pima Indians Diabetes dataset, comprising 768 patient records with various health indicators, was utilized for model training and evaluation. Exploratory data analysis revealed significant correlations between glucose levels, BMI, age, and diabetes risk. The dataset was split into 80% training and 20% testing sets. Models were validated using cross-validation and evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Results indicated that Logistic Regression achieved the highest accuracy (75%) and balanced performance in identifying both positive and negative cases. Decision Tree excelled in recall, while Random Forest showed a slightly lower balance between precision and recall. The ROC curve analysis demonstrated that Random Forest had the highest AUC (0.82), followed by Logistic Regression (0.81) and Decision Tree (0.73). This study confirms that machine learning algorithms can effectively predict diabetes, providing valuable tools for early detection and intervention, ultimately reducing the global burden of diabetes mellitus.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

justin

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

JUSTIN aims to publish research results and thoughts among academics, researchers, scientists, and practitioners in the field of informatics/computer science so that they are freely available to the public, and support the exchange of knowledge. The scope of JUSTIN is but is not limited to the ...