JOINTER : Journal of Informatics Engineering
Vol 5 No 02 (2024): JOINTER : Journal of Informatics Engineering

Analisis Performa Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model dan Deep Learning Long Short-Term Memory Model untuk Peramalan Data Cuaca

Montolalu, Vithiaz (Unknown)
Munaiseche, Cindy (Unknown)
Krisnanda, Made (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2024

Abstract

Weather is an aspect that cannot be separated from all activities carried out by humans, so information about the weather is very important. To meet the need for this information, it is necessary to do forecasting. Each data has its own characteristics, and choosing the right forecasting method is very important. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method is one of the popular statistical methods used in forecasting time-series data. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a modern deep learning algorithm model that is most suitable for forecasting time-series data. In this study, an analysis was carried out to compare the traditional ARIMA method and the deep learning model, namely LSTM, in forecasting weather data in Manado city to see the best forecasting model that can be used. The results of this study indicate that in terms of the accuracy of the 18 tests performed, the LSTM forecasting model is superior to the ARIMA model as measured by Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). In terms of computational time in making forecasting models for 6 weather data attributes, the LSTM model is faster than the ARIMA model.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jointer

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

Journal of Informatics and Engineering (Jointer) diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Teknik Informatika, Fakultas Teknik (FATEK) Universitas Negeri Manado (UNIMA) setiap bulan Juni dan Desember dengan nomor e-issn : 2723-7958. Jointer merupakan jurnal open-access atau dengan kata lain semua artikel yang ...