Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Engineering Applications (JAIEA)
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2024): October 2024

Rainfall Prediction Analysis Using the Fuzzy Time Series Method in Medan City

Zikri, Syaftial (Unknown)
Hasibuan, Wilda Rina (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Oct 2024

Abstract

The increasingly significant climate change causes high rainfall variability, thus requiring an accurate prediction method for disaster mitigation planning and water resource managment. This study aim to analyze rainfal prediction in Medan City using Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) methode. Historical rainfall data for Medan City for a certain period is collected and processed to build an FTS model. The fuzzification process is carried out to convert numerical data into fuzzy values, then the time series relationship is identified to predict the next rainfall value. Based on Chen's fuzzy time series with the detemination of the average-based interval, the Medan City rainfall forecast based on January 2019-December 2023 data obtained the forecast results for January 2024 is 386.7 mm. From the result of tests that have caried out, the best number of sampels be used in the Medan City rainfall case is 60 data, namely the period January 2019 - December 2023.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JAIEA

Publisher

Subject

Automotive Engineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

The Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Engineering Applications (JAIEA) is a peer-reviewed journal. The JAIEA welcomes papers on broad aspects of Artificial Intelligence and Engineering which is an always hot topic to study, but not limited to, cognition and AI applications, engineering ...