International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Vol 5, No 4 (2024)

Analysis of the Impact of High Inflation on Present Value Calculation in Investment in Indonesia

Azzahra, Syanna Nabila (Unknown)
Widiana, Fani Almira (Unknown)
Azzahra, Fathimah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jan 2025

Abstract

Inflation is a crucial economic indicator that significantly impacts investment decisions. In Indonesia, inflation has shown substantial fluctuations due to factors such as global commodity prices, monetary policy, and domestic demand. This study aims to analyze the impact of high inflation on present value (PV) calculations in investment contexts, particularly in long-term projects. Present value, a method for assessing future cash flows based on their current value, is influenced by the discount rate, which tends to rise with inflation. Using data from 20152023, this research compares two inflation scenarios (1.56% and 6.38%) and calculates the PV of an investment with a future value of IDR 1,000,000 over 5 years. The results show a significant decrease in PV under high inflation, from IDR 925,497 to IDR 733,999, indicating that inflation erodes the purchasing power of future cash flows. Furthermore, the analysis highlights the more significant impact of inflation on sectors with higher cash flow projections, such as infrastructure. The study underscores the need for investors to consider inflation when making investment decisions to manage risks and maximize returns.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijqrm

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Environmental Science Physics

Description

International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling (IJQRM) is published 4 times a year and is the flagship journal of the Research Collaboration Community (RCC). It is the aim of IJQRM to present papers which cover the theory, practice, history or methodology of Quatitative Research (QR) ...