International Journal of Social Service and Research
Vol. 4 No. 11 (2024): International Journal of Social Service and Research

VECM MODEL IN MEASURING THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY INTERVENTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA FROM 2009 TO 2022

Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto (Unknown)
Mail, Johana (Unknown)
Assel, M. Ridwan (Unknown)
Leiwakabessy, Erly (Unknown)
Payapo, Rukmuin W. (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Nov 2024

Abstract

This research was conducted to determine the short-term and long-term effects of inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, and the money supply on economic growth in Indonesia from 2009 to 2022 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method. The VECM method is used to analyze the interaction between these variables over different time horizons, offering valuable insights into their respective roles in influencing economic growth. The results show that in the short run, the exchange rate variable does not have a significant effect on the economic growth, while in the long run the interest rate variable has a positive impact on the economy with a negative coefficient value. The short run variable interest rates do not have significant effects on the growth of the economy, but in the longer run interest rates have an important effect on growth. In conclusion, the effect of exchange rates on the Indonesian economy is still a controversial research topic. The findings enhance the current literature on macroeconomic policy and provide a foundation for policymakers to design more effective economic strategies, especially in addressing the challenges posed by inflation and exchange rate volatility in both the short and long terms.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijssr

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

International Journal of Social Service and Research is a double-blind, peer-reviewed academic journal with open access to social and scientific fields. The journal is published monthly by Ridwan Institute. International Journal of Social Service and Research provides a means for sustained ...