Ekonomi Bisnis
Vol 29, No 3 (2024)

PREDICTING THE JAPANESE YEN'S VOLATILITY IN RELATION TO THE INDONESIAN RUPIAH

Akhmad, Afied (Unknown)
Arnanda, Feza Raffa (Unknown)
Sari, Linda Monica (Unknown)
Kuswardani, Rakaninda Indah (Unknown)
Kartiasih, Fitri (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Nov 2024

Abstract

Japan has experienced low inflation and continuous deflation since the economic bubble of the 1980s. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, the world was preoccupied with deflation in various countries, worsening Japan's financial condition. As a result, the Japanese currency's exchange rate could not compete with other currencies. This situation significantly affects the value of Indonesia's exports and imports, as Japan is one of the leading export destinations and a primary supplier of implications for Indonesia. The purpose of this study is to forecast the volatility of the exchange rate between the yen and the IDR for the future. The data used in this research is the buying rate variable from the yen to IDR exchange rate data from January 3, 2020, to November 27, 2023. The method used for the high-volatility data is the GARCH model. The best modeling obtained is GARCH(0,1). The forecast results provide an insight into the buying exchange rate of the yen against the IDR until the beginning of 2024.

Copyrights © 2024






Journal Info

Abbrev

ekbis

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is a journal through a peer-review process. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is intended for academics and researchers to publish their articles which is an original text that has not been published in another journal. The focus and scope are in the fields of management, ...