Indonesian Journal of Forestry Research
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2017): Indonesian Journal of Forestry Research

DEMAND ANALYSIS OF INDONESIAN PULPWOOD USING TRANSCENDENTAL LOGARITHMIC MODEL: A STUDY OF THE WORLD AND SELECTED ASIAN MARKETS

Simanjuntak, Gunawan Ganda Tua Petrus (Unknown)
Lin, Chingyang (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Oct 2017

Abstract

Indonesia’s pulpwood export has shown an increasing trend since 1990s. Along with Brazil, Canada, USA and Chile, Indonesia became one of the top five pulpwood exporter countries in the world. Indonesia’s pulpwood was traded mainly to some Asian countries. This paper examines Indonesian pulpwood export demand during the period 1994-2014 using a Transcendental Logarithmic (TL) model with Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) estimation. Export data from the five top exporter countries in four different markets (China, Korea, Japan and the world) were analysed. The important findings are as follow: firstly, logarithmic income and second order logarithmic income significantly influence the Chinese and Korean markets. Secondly, in general, Indonesia’s own-prices are elastic and have negative signs (-2.308, -1.06 and -2.04 in the Korean, Japanese and the world markets, respectively). Thirdly, due to its positive sign of crossprice elasticity and also positive signs of income elasticity (1.002, 1.722 and 0.625 in the Chinese, Korean and the world markets, respectively), Indonesian pulpwood could be categorized as a substitute and normal goods. Lastly, regarding to negative and elastic Indonesia’s pulpwood own-prices, one possible policy that could be applied by the Government of Indonesia (GoI) is giving a subsidy to reduce pulpwood price by 10%. Subsidy could be implemented by reducing tax and retribution such as property tax (Pajak Bumi dan Bangunan) and local retribution (Retribusi Daerah).

Copyrights © 2017






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijfr

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

Description

Indonesian Journal of Forestry Research (IJFR) was first published as Journal of Forestry Research (JFR) in November 2004 (ISSN 0216-0919). The last issue of JFR was published in December 2013. The Journal has been accredited by the Indonesian Institute of Sciences since 2008 and by the Ministry of ...