Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
Vol 3 No 2 (2025): Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics

Bayesian Analysis of Modified Inverse Lomax Distribution with Application

Telee, Lal Babu Sah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
03 Mar 2025

Abstract

This study investigates the use of the Modified Inverse Lomax (MILX) distribution to model survival data for patients suffering from Head and Neck cancer who were treated with radiotherapy. The dataset, consisting of 44 observations, is analyzed using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayesian methods via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. Key parameters of the MILX model are estimated, and posterior predictive checks are performed to assess model fit. Convergence diagnostics using Gelman-Rubin statistics and trace plots demonstrate reliable parameter estimation, with high effective sample sizes. The model's performance is evaluated using posterior predictive intervals (PPI) and Widely Applicable Information Criterion (WAIC). Residual analysis shows that while the model fits most of the data well, it struggles with larger observed values. The findings highlight the applicability of the MILX distribution in modeling heavy-tailed data with varying uncertainties, and its utility in predicting future observations.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

MJMS

Publisher

Subject

Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering

Description

The journal contains scientific articles covering topics such as mathematical theory, statistical methods, the application of mathematics in various disciplines, and statistical data analysis. The primary objective of this journal is to promote a better understanding of mathematical and statistical ...