Jurnal ilmiah teknologi informasi Asia
Vol 19 No 1 (2025): Volume 19 nomor 1 2025 (8)

Analisis pencapaian kinerja menggunakan regresi linier dan ARIMA (studi kasus: KSP Kredit Union Pancur Solidaritas)

Safril, Martinus (Unknown)
Hidayat, Tonny (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Feb 2025

Abstract

Continuous performance measurement is important for organizations, especially cooperatives such as KSP (Koperasi Simpan Pinjam) Credit Union Pancur Solidaritas. This ensures work programs are planned and completed effectively and allows for ongoing success evaluation. Linear Regression and ARIMA are methods applied to set targets for organizational work programs and measure the cooperative's performance over time. This study aimed to examine performance achievement using Linear Regression and ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average). The research used a quantitative descriptive approach. Study data included documentation on assets, member numbers, outreach activities, loan disbursements, overdue loans, and staff count for KSP Credit Union Pancur Solidaritas from 2021 to 2024. Data analysis employed Linear Regression and ARIMA tests performed using Python software. The study results showed that combining Linear Regression and ARIMA can produce three different performance possibilities: the highest anticipated performance (upper performance), the predicted performance (predicted performance), and the lowest possible performance (lower performance). Based on this analysis, the prediction for KSP CUPS member growth indicates an increase each month, with growth predicted to be 1,426 members by June 2025.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jitika

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Published by Institute for Research, Development and Community Service (Lembaga Penelitian, Pengembangan dan Pengabdian Masyarakat / LP2M) of High School of Information & Computer Management (Institut Teknologi dan Bisnis AsiA MALANG as a periodical publication that provides information and analysis ...