JUITA : Jurnal Informatika
JUITA Vol. 13 Issue 1, March 2025

A Blending Ensemble Approach to Predicting Student Dropout in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs)

Putra, Muhammad Ricky Perdana (Unknown)
Utami, Ema (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Mar 2025

Abstract

The problem faced in the implementation of Massive Open Online Course (MOOC) is the high dropout rate (DO) reaching 90% which exceeds the formal school dropout rate. Preventive action needs to be taken to minimize the impact on MOOCs, instructors, and students. One solution is to do machine learning (ML) based prediction. The use of ML does not escape the problem of prediction performance that is still less accurate so it needs to be improved by blending ensemble learning (BEL). This research builds a BEL model consisting of two layers including base model with KNN, Decision Tree, and Naïve Bayes algorithms, then meta model with XGBoost. The dataset from KDD Cup 2015 contains clickstream from XuetangX website. The pre-processing stage includes selecting the course with the most participants, normalization, SMOTE, feature selection, and breaking it into three: ensemble, blender, and test data. The BEL model evaluation results obtained an accuracy value of 90.16%, precision of 85.64%, recall of 97.31%, F1-Score of 91.10%, and AUC of 92.83%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JUITA

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

UITA: Jurnal Informatika is a science journal and informatics field application that presents articles on thoughts and research of the latest developments. JUITA is a journal peer reviewed and open access. JUITA is published by the Informatics Engineering Study Program, Universitas Muhammadiyah ...