International Journal of Multidisciplinary: Applied Business and Education Research
Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): International Journal of Multidisciplinary: Applied Business and Education Rese

Analyzing the Impact of Political Instability on Myanmar's Financial Sector and Economic Growth

Soe, May Ei Ei (Unknown)
Panthamit, Nisit (Unknown)
Chaiboonsri, Chukiat (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Mar 2025

Abstract

Prior to the February 1, 2021, coup, Myanmar experienced steady economic progress due to moderate political and economic reforms. However, the coup significantly disrupted this trajectory, placing the economy in a precarious state. This study examines the impact of political instability on Myanmar’s financial sector and economic growth from 2006 to 2023, with a focus on key macroeconomic factors: Political Stability, Inflation, and Unemployment. Using the Markov Switching Dynamic Regression (MSDR) model, the analysis captures how these variables influence economic growth under different economic regimes. The findings reveal that Political Stability and Inflation positively contribute to economic expansion, while Unemployment has a negative effect. The MSDR model uniquely identifies two distinct economic regimes: recessionary periods, where the effects of these variables are weaker or insignificant, and periods of economic boom, where all factors significantly drive growth. These results highlight the critical role of maintaining political stability, controlling inflation, and reducing unemployment to foster sustainable development. The study provides actionable policy recommendations for Myanmar and offers insights for neighboring economies and international policymakers on managing political and economic crises. Strengthening stability, promoting inclusive growth, and enhancing financial resilience are essential steps toward long-term economic progress

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijmaber

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Medicine & Pharmacology

Description

International Journal of Multidisciplinary: Applied Business and Education Research is a peer-reviewed in a monthly basis that publishes full-length papers. it is to enhance the dissemination of knowledge across the multidisciplinary community. We are particularly interested in papers relevant to ...