JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH)
Vol 6 No 3 (2025): April 2025

Kajian Metode Analisis Spektral Pada Peramalan Curah Hujan

Zega, Putri May Sari (Unknown)
Mardiningsih, Mardiningsih (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Apr 2025

Abstract

Rainfall is an important element in climate research, and its analysis requires appropriate approaches to reveal seasonal patterns and periodicity. This research aims to explore the application of the spectral analysis method in rainfall forecasting using monthly rainfall data from Serdang Bedagai Regency for 10 years (January 2014 – December 2023) totaling 120 data. The method used is harmonic analysis, a Fourier approach to extracting frequency information from time series data. This research began with data visualization, stationarity testing using the Phillips-Perron test, to spectral analysis involving calculations of Fourier coefficients and periodograms to detect dominant frequencies. The results show that the data has a periodic component with the highest frequency at 0.524, which is equivalent to a 12 month period. These results indicate the existence of seasonal patterns in rainfall data, which is relevant to support more accurate climate forecasting models. The implications of this research include the use of spectral analysis as a reliable method for identifying periodicity and building seasonal pattern-based forecasting models, which can be applied in various studies related to climate change and its mitigation.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

josh

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

Artikel yang dimuat melalui proses Blind Review oleh Jurnal JOSH, dengan mempertimbangkan antara lain: terpenuhinya persyaratan baku publikasi jurnal, metodologi riset yang digunakan, dan signifikansi kontribusi hasil riset terhadap pengembangan keilmuan bidang teknologi dan informasi. Fokus Journal ...