Diponegoro Journal of Economics
Vol 14, No 1 (2025)

Interaksi Dinamis Faktor Ekonomi terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani di Provinsi DI Yogyakarta: Pendekatan Granger Causality

Indrawan Firdauzi (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman, Purwokerto)
Fitri Amalinda Harahap (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman, Purwokerto)
Asmi Ayuning Hidayah (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman, Purwokerto)
Muhammad Farid Alfarisy (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman, Purwokerto)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 Apr 2025

Abstract

The agricultural sector is one of Indonesia's economic sectors. With a comparison of land area and overall production, the province of D.I. Yogyakarta ranks among the largest producers in Indonesia. The inadequate well-being of farmers continues to be a pressing concern in the Special Region of Yogyakarta. This study examines the effects of the interconnections among farmers' exchange rates, poverty, consumer price indices, inequality, and inflation on farmers' well-being in the Special Region of Yogyakarta. Utilizing secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Yogyakarta Province spanning from 2005 to 2023 in a time series format, we employed the Granger Causality model to examine the interrelationship among the farmers' exchange rate, inflation rate, poverty, and inequality in Yogyakarta Province. Our analysis revealed that the one-way link over the long term indicated that only the consumer price index had a beneficial impact on the farmer's exchange rate. Moreover, inequality adversely impacts the farmers' exchange rate, signifying that an increase in provincial inequality results in a decline in farmers' income. In examining causal relationships, several noteworthy discoveries emerged, including that inflation impacts inequality, which subsequently affects the farmers' exchange rate, and the farmers' exchange rate influences the consumer price index. As a novel contribution, this paper presents the first attempt to examine the factors influencing farmer welfare in the Province of DI Yogyakarta. We investigate the potential causal effects of key economic variables—including inequality, inflation, and exchange rates—on farmers.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jme

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Media publikasi karya ilmiah lulusan S1 Prodi Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Diponegoro yang berisi tentang kajian pembangunan dan kajian ekonomi beserta seluruh ...