ASEAN Marketing Journal


Understanding Telecommunication Customer Churn: Insights from LightGBM Predictive Modelling and SHAP Feature Interpretation

Sinaga, Ruben (Unknown)
Widianto, Sunu (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2023

Abstract

Manuscript Type: Research Article Research Aims: This research is expected to contribute to scientific insights on machine learning predictions, how to understand the contribution of variables and their interpretation in the overall context of customer churn in telecommunications companies. Design/Methodology/Approach: Data was collected from one Indonesian telecommunication company within a total of 50,000 sample data points. The data was analyzed using a machine learning algorithm to process, predict, and interpret the result based on the research scenario. Research Findings: These findings revealed that the SHAP framework significantly impacts the churn problem, allowing the marketing team to implement the right strategy based on customer personalization. Theoretical Contribution/Originality: This research enriches customer churn research in the telecommunications industry by introducing a combined method of the LightGBM model and SHAP framework, providing a thorough analysis of variable contributions to the customer churn model used, and addressing the lack of research that focuses on variable contributions. Practitioner/Policy Implication: This research provides an overview of the utilization of customer variables that can later be studied deeply by data or marketing teams to produce initiative projects based on data and machine learning models Research Limitation/Implication: Future studies could combine the feature selection method to filter the model’s features and remove redundant ones, thereby analysing the contribution of variables that truly impact customer churn. Keywords: telecommunication; customer churn; machine learning; shap framework; lightgbm

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Journal Info

Abbrev

publication:amj

Publisher

Subject

Social Sciences

Description

ASEAN Marketing Journal (AMJ) is dedicated to exploring, disseminating and discussing the latest issues and developments of marketing, particularly those related or relevant to the advancement of marketing in South East Asia and beyond. The mission of the editorial board of AMJ is to present the ...