Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS)
Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): Volume 08 Nomor 01 (April 2025)

Optimization of Interval Singh’s Fuzzy Time Series with Particle Swarm Optimization for Forecasting Consumer Price Index in Luwuk City

siswanto, Navira (Unknown)
Djakaria, Ismail (Unknown)
Arsal, Armayani (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2025

Abstract

High inflation can threaten economic stability, with CPI as the main indicator to measure the inflation rate. Luwuk City experiences significant CPI fluctuations, reflecting economic uncertainty so an accurate forecasting method is needed. This research aims to apply Singh's Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) method optimised with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to improve CPI forecasting accuracy. This research includes quantitative research, using secondary data obtained from monthly CPI data in Luwuk City on the official website of the Badan Pusat Statistik Kota Luwuk. The results showed that the use of PSO optimisation on Singh's FTS was able to optimise the prediction accuracy level of Singh's FTS forecasting on Luwuk City CPI data, with a MAPE value of 0.45%, where this value is less than 10% which indicates that the forecasting accuracy is very accurate.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

JMATHCOS

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Fokus yang didasarkan tidak hanya untuk penelitian dan juga teori-teori pengetahuan yang tidak menerbitkan plagiarism. Ruang lingkup jurnal ini adalah teori matematika, matematika terapan, program perhitungan, perhitungan matematika, statistik, dan statistik ...