JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika)
Vol 10 No 1 (2025)

Forecasting Shallot Prices in Indonesia Using News-Based Sentiment Indicators

Salsabila, Atikah (Unknown)
Nooraeni, Rani (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 May 2025

Abstract

The volatile price changes of shallots are a challenge in controlling their prices. The fluctuation in the price of shallots is always reported in the media because it affects people's lives. The news is released online via the internet and has beneficial information so it can be utilized. This study aims to provide a comparative analysis of forecasting models for shallot prices in Indonesia, evaluating the impact of using the most effective sentiment indicators derived from four lexicon-based methods. Data were collected by scraping method on three news portals and one food price information source website during the period from 2020 to 2023. The correlation and causality analysis was conducted to determine the relationship between food prices and sentiment indicators that was obtained using four sentiment analysis methods. The selected sentiment indicators for each day were used as an additional variable in forecasting using ARIMA, SARIMA, and BSTS models. The results showed that the use of news sentiment could reduce RMSE, MAPE, and MAE in forecasting shallot food prices.  

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Journal Info

Abbrev

join

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika) is a scientific journal published by the Department of Informatics UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung. This journal contains scientific papers from Academics, Researchers, and Practitioners about research on informatics. JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika) is published ...