Fair Value: Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan
Vol. 7 No. 3 (2025): Fair Value: Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan

The effect of market sentiment on stock performance with profitability as a moderating variable

Hutabarat, Francis (Unknown)
Leri Santoso Hutasoit (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Apr 2025

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of market sentiment on stock performance, with a particular focus on the moderating role of firm profitability. Utilizing a quantitative causal research design, the analysis is based on a sample of small- and mid-cap companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2020 to 2023. Market sentiment is conceptualized as the collective investor psychology influencing trading behaviors and price movements, while profitability serves as a key financial indicator potentially moderating this relationship. Employing moderated regression analysis, the findings reveal that market sentiment significantly influences stock performance. Moreover, profitability exerts a significant moderating effect, such that the relationship between market sentiment and stock returns varies according to the firm’s profitability level. Specifically, market sentiment positively affects stock performance when profitability is low, but this effect turns negative when profitability is high. These results underscore the importance of integrating financial fundamentals with investor sentiment in explaining stock market dynamics. The study contributes to a deeper understanding of how intrinsic firm characteristics can shape the influence of behavioral factors on investment outcomes, offering practical insights for investors and portfolio managers in emerging markets.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

fairvalue

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Aim of this Fair Value : jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan is the media for scientific studies resulting from research, thoughts and critical-analysis studies on accounting, financial, Cooperative and SMEs issues in Indonesia and southeast asia especially and also in the world. The intended ...