Electron: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro
Vol 6 No 1: Jurnal Electron, Mei 2025

Deep Learning dan Model Tradisional untuk Peramalan Kecepatan Angin di Arab Saudi

Hidayat, Ikhsan (Unknown)
Abido, Mohammad Ali (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2025

Abstract

This study evaluates the performance of traditional statistical methods, specifically the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), in comparison to advanced deep learning models—Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)—for wind speed forecasting across various regions in Saudi Arabia: Al-Jouf, Abha, Al-Ahsa, and Al-Dawadami. The historical wind speed dataset covering the year 2018 was utilized, with data preprocessing conducted using the Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) method to ensure consistency and quality. The models were assessed based on three primary error metrics: Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Results show that CNN consistently outperforms SARIMA and the other deep learning models, particularly when forecasting stable wind speed patterns. LSTM demonstrates an ability to handle fluctuating wind speeds effectively, while BiLSTM offers advantages in capturing complex bidirectional temporal dependencies. On the other hand, SARIMA generally exhibits lower performance compared to deep learning approaches. The superior performance of CNN is likely attributed to its strength in local feature extraction and handling spatial patterns effectively, which are beneficial for short-term forecasting. These findings provide valuable insights into model selection for wind energy forecasting and can contribute to optimizing renewable energy integration and planning strategies. Future work may explore hybrid model approaches to further enhance forecasting accuracy.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

electronubb

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy

Description

E-journal of the Department of Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Bangka Belitung, is a media for publication and information for scientific papers, undergraduate thesis, research, planning and design concepts, and analysis from students, professors, or any authors ...