Inferensi
Vol 8, No 2 (2025)

Spatio-Temporal Kriging for Monthly Precipitation Interpolation in East Kalimantan

Jannah, Friendtika Miftaqul (Brawijaya University)
Fitriani, Rahma (Brawijaya University)
Pramoedyo, Henny (Brawijaya University)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Jul 2025

Abstract

Precipitation is one of the factors that can lead to various disasters, such as droughts and floods. Ordinary interpolation methods, such as spatial kriging, cannot accommodate the time element, which is crucial for addressing precipitation-related disasters. Therefore, this study applies a spatio-temporal kriging, which incorporates both spatial and temporal elements. The aim of this study is to develop a spatio-temporal kriging model for precipitation, serving as a basis for interpolating precipitation at unobserved points over various time intervals within the study domain. This model is expected to be an effective tool for disaster mitigation and water conservation strategies. The data used in this study comprises total monthly precipitation recorded at seven precipitation observation posts in East Kalimantan from 2021 to 2023. The findings indicate that the spatio-temporal ordinary kriging model is the most suitable approach, with the best semivariogram model identified as the simple sum-metric. The spatial semivariogram follows an exponential model, while the temporal and joint semivariograms follow Gaussian models. The accuracy of the chosen model yields an RMSE of 2493.687. The interpolation results reveal that West Kutai falls within the medium to high precipitation category, making it the district with the highest flood risk.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

inferensi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Mathematics Social Sciences

Description

The aim of Inferensi is to publish original articles concerning statistical theories and novel applications in diverse research fields related to statistics and data science. The objective of papers should be to contribute to the understanding of the statistical methodology and/or to develop and ...