Jurnal E-Komtek
Vol 9 No 1 (2025)

Comparative Analysis of the Accuracy of Multiple Linear Regression Method and Ridge Regression Method in Predicting Dengue Fever Cases in South Tangerang City

Dina Aulia (Unknown)
Herman Bedi Agtriadi (Unknown)
Luqman (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Jul 2025

Abstract

One of the main health issues in South Tangerang City is dengue fever (DBD). This study aims to compare the accuracy of Multiple Linear Regression and Ridge Regression methods in predicting the number of DBD cases using weather data such as temperature, humidity, and average rainfall. The data used is monthly data from South Tangerang City. The analysis process includes preprocessing, splitting the dataset into training and testing data, and applying both regression methods. To determine the prediction error rate, model accuracy is evaluated using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) metric. The results indicate that Ridge Regression performs better for datasets with high multicollinearity, yielding a MAPE value of 20.12%, while Multiple Linear Regression is more effective for datasets with low feature correlation, showing a MAPE value of 44.6%. This study provides important insights into selecting predictive techniques based on the characteristics of the analyzed dataset. It is hoped that this research can improve mitigation and planning for DHF cases in South Tangerang City by choosing the appropriate approach.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

E-KOMTEK

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Jurnal E-Komtek (Elektro-Komputer-Teknik) is a Journal that contains scientific articles in the form of research results, analytical studies, application of theory, and discussion of various problems relating to Electrical, Computer, and Automotive Mechanical ...